Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate minimum temperatures of 24–25°C on September 24, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 44.5% for each. Typical late-September conditions feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near the 24°C climatological average. Clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow slight additional cooling toward 24°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall would favor 25°C or higher by reducing heat loss. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of extremes given the narrow diurnal range characteristic of the region. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 24?
29°C or higher 87%
26°C 48%
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
28%
27°C
22%
28°C
43%
29°C or higher
87%
29°C or higher 87%
26°C 48%
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$9 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$16 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
43%
29°C or higher
$10 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate minimum temperatures of 24–25°C on September 24, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 44.5% for each. Typical late-September conditions feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near the 24°C climatological average. Clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow slight additional cooling toward 24°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall would favor 25°C or higher by reducing heat loss. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of extremes given the narrow diurnal range characteristic of the region. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$70End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate minimum temperatures of 24–25°C on September 24, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 44.5% for each. Typical late-September conditions feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near the 24°C climatological average. Clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow slight additional cooling toward 24°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall would favor 25°C or higher by reducing heat loss. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of extremes given the narrow diurnal range characteristic of the region. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate minimum temperatures of 24–25°C on September 24, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 44.5% for each. Typical late-September conditions feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near the 24°C climatological average. Clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow slight additional cooling toward 24°C, while persistent cloudiness or rainfall would favor 25°C or higher by reducing heat loss. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of extremes given the narrow diurnal range characteristic of the region. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions