Northeast winds sustained at 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph are suppressing daytime warming across the New York City region, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 60s on September 23. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs of 66-68°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation chances, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 66-69°F bins. Persistent onshore flow from cooler Atlantic waters and limited solar insolation under the prevailing pattern limit afternoon peaks, aligning with typical late-September climatology when highs average near 72°F but recent northeasterly regimes have produced similar subdued readings. No significant model shifts or warm-air advection are expected before resolution, tightening trader consensus around the current forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 23?
66-67°F 53%
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 9%
64-65°F 4%
NEW
$28,162 Vol.
NEW
$28,162 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
53%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 53%
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 9%
64-65°F 4%
NEW
$28,162 Vol.
NEW
$28,162 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
57°F or below
$866 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$154 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$411 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,074 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$3,077 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$5,380 Vol.
53%
68-69°F
$5,277 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$4,953 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$2,790 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$1,540 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds sustained at 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph are suppressing daytime warming across the New York City region, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 60s on September 23. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs of 66-68°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation chances, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 66-69°F bins. Persistent onshore flow from cooler Atlantic waters and limited solar insolation under the prevailing pattern limit afternoon peaks, aligning with typical late-September climatology when highs average near 72°F but recent northeasterly regimes have produced similar subdued readings. No significant model shifts or warm-air advection are expected before resolution, tightening trader consensus around the current forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$28,162End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds sustained at 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph are suppressing daytime warming across the New York City region, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 60s on September 23. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs of 66-68°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation chances, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 66-69°F bins. Persistent onshore flow from cooler Atlantic waters and limited solar insolation under the prevailing pattern limit afternoon peaks, aligning with typical late-September climatology when highs average near 72°F but recent northeasterly regimes have produced similar subdued readings. No significant model shifts or warm-air advection are expected before resolution, tightening trader consensus around the current forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,162End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northeast winds sustained at 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph are suppressing daytime warming across the New York City region, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 60s on September 23. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs of 66-68°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation chances, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 66-69°F bins. Persistent onshore flow from cooler Atlantic waters and limited solar insolation under the prevailing pattern limit afternoon peaks, aligning with typical late-September climatology when highs average near 72°F but recent northeasterly regimes have produced similar subdued readings. No significant model shifts or warm-air advection are expected before resolution, tightening trader consensus around the current forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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