Meteorological forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting global models show a maximum temperature of 17°C for Toronto on September 22 under persistent high pressure and northerly flow advecting cooler air. Ensemble consensus across multiple runs places the daily high squarely at this level, consistent with observed surface conditions and September climatology adjusted for the current pattern. Official hourly readings from Pearson International Airport will determine resolution, with the market reflecting high confidence in the forecast envelope. Minor shifts could occur from stronger daytime mixing or localized clearing that allows brief additional warming, though current guidance assigns low probability to outcomes outside the narrow 16–18°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on September 22?
17°C 99.6%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,939 Vol.
$39,939 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.6%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,939 Vol.
$39,939 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting global models show a maximum temperature of 17°C for Toronto on September 22 under persistent high pressure and northerly flow advecting cooler air. Ensemble consensus across multiple runs places the daily high squarely at this level, consistent with observed surface conditions and September climatology adjusted for the current pattern. Official hourly readings from Pearson International Airport will determine resolution, with the market reflecting high confidence in the forecast envelope. Minor shifts could occur from stronger daytime mixing or localized clearing that allows brief additional warming, though current guidance assigns low probability to outcomes outside the narrow 16–18°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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