Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80–90% that moderates temperature drops. These conditions favor the closely matched 21°C and 22°C market outcomes over cooler thresholds, as minimal air mass advection from northern regions keeps the boundary layer stable. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 20–21°C, but current model consensus points to slightly warmer readings without significant precipitation or frontal passage. Final resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
19°C 90%
18°C 18%
16°C or below 17%
17°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
17%
17°C
6%
18°C
18%
19°C
90%
20°C
46%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 90%
18°C 18%
16°C or below 17%
17°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
$105 Vol.
17%
17°C
$40 Vol.
6%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
90%
20°C
$166 Vol.
46%
21°C
$84 Vol.
50%
22°C
$110 Vol.
50%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80–90% that moderates temperature drops. These conditions favor the closely matched 21°C and 22°C market outcomes over cooler thresholds, as minimal air mass advection from northern regions keeps the boundary layer stable. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 20–21°C, but current model consensus points to slightly warmer readings without significant precipitation or frontal passage. Final resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$999End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80–90% that moderates temperature drops. These conditions favor the closely matched 21°C and 22°C market outcomes over cooler thresholds, as minimal air mass advection from northern regions keeps the boundary layer stable. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 20–21°C, but current model consensus points to slightly warmer readings without significant precipitation or frontal passage. Final resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$999End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 23, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, light variable winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80–90% that moderates temperature drops. These conditions favor the closely matched 21°C and 22°C market outcomes over cooler thresholds, as minimal air mass advection from northern regions keeps the boundary layer stable. Historical September climatology shows typical lows around 20–21°C, but current model consensus points to slightly warmer readings without significant precipitation or frontal passage. Final resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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