**Cloud cover, light winds, and elevated humidity from a lingering frontal boundary are capping peak temperatures in Wuhan near the long-term September 23 average of roughly 27 °C.** Multiple forecast models show mostly cloudy skies with only brief breaks for sunshine and a 20–50 % chance of light rain or mist, which limits surface heating and keeps the daily maximum tightly clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C. Light northwesterly flow prevents strong warm advection, while high dew points near 22–24 °C further suppress the diurnal rise. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range model consensus indicate the outcome hinges on whether afternoon clearing occurs before 15:00 local time; any earlier or more extensive cloud break would favor the upper end of the range, while persistent overcast or showers would anchor the high at 26 °C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
34%
27°C
38%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 8%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
34%
27°C
38%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, light winds, and elevated humidity from a lingering frontal boundary are capping peak temperatures in Wuhan near the long-term September 23 average of roughly 27 °C.** Multiple forecast models show mostly cloudy skies with only brief breaks for sunshine and a 20–50 % chance of light rain or mist, which limits surface heating and keeps the daily maximum tightly clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C. Light northwesterly flow prevents strong warm advection, while high dew points near 22–24 °C further suppress the diurnal rise. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and short-range model consensus indicate the outcome hinges on whether afternoon clearing occurs before 15:00 local time; any earlier or more extensive cloud break would favor the upper end of the range, while persistent overcast or showers would anchor the high at 26 °C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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