Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
7°C or below 85%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
9°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
7°C or below
85%
8°C
43%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C or higher
2%
7°C or below 85%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
9°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
85%
8°C
$0 Vol.
43%
9°C
$0 Vol.
48%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
46%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate Warsaw overnight lows near 12–15°C on August 27 amid typical late-summer cooling, with clear or partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling under light easterly winds. Seasonal trends show daily minimums declining by about 5°F (roughly 3°C) through the month from mid-August peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 13°C. Model consensus supports minimums in the 11–14°C range, though forecast uncertainty from potential subtle high-pressure influences or measurement site variations could allow cooler outliers. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with substantial weight on sub-8°C outcomes alongside the 11–13°C cluster as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions