**Trader consensus on a 25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 25 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a minimum near 25°C under continued high humidity and limited radiative cooling.** Persistent heatwave conditions, with daytime highs of 31–36°C and dew points around 25–26°C, have produced tropical-night patterns where cloud cover and scattered showers (5–40 mm in the capital region) prevent significant nocturnal temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for current warmth. Recent KMA guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs show strong agreement on this threshold, with minimal model spread. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include an unexpected clear-sky period allowing greater cooling or revised observational data from Incheon International Airport, though current steering patterns and moisture make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
25°C 99%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$12,626 Vol.
$12,626 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$12,626 Vol.
$12,626 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$965 Vol.
1%
22°C
$778 Vol.
1%
23°C
$962 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$889 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,612 Vol.
99%
26°C
$2,601 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,262 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 25 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a minimum near 25°C under continued high humidity and limited radiative cooling.** Persistent heatwave conditions, with daytime highs of 31–36°C and dew points around 25–26°C, have produced tropical-night patterns where cloud cover and scattered showers (5–40 mm in the capital region) prevent significant nocturnal temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for current warmth. Recent KMA guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs show strong agreement on this threshold, with minimal model spread. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include an unexpected clear-sky period allowing greater cooling or revised observational data from Incheon International Airport, though current steering patterns and moisture make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,626End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 25 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a minimum near 25°C under continued high humidity and limited radiative cooling.** Persistent heatwave conditions, with daytime highs of 31–36°C and dew points around 25–26°C, have produced tropical-night patterns where cloud cover and scattered showers (5–40 mm in the capital region) prevent significant nocturnal temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for current warmth. Recent KMA guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs show strong agreement on this threshold, with minimal model spread. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include an unexpected clear-sky period allowing greater cooling or revised observational data from Incheon International Airport, though current steering patterns and moisture make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,626End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 25°C overnight low for Seoul/Incheon on August 25 stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting a minimum near 25°C under continued high humidity and limited radiative cooling.** Persistent heatwave conditions, with daytime highs of 31–36°C and dew points around 25–26°C, have produced tropical-night patterns where cloud cover and scattered showers (5–40 mm in the capital region) prevent significant nocturnal temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology adjusted for current warmth. Recent KMA guidance and numerical weather prediction outputs show strong agreement on this threshold, with minimal model spread. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include an unexpected clear-sky period allowing greater cooling or revised observational data from Incheon International Airport, though current steering patterns and moisture make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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