**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area for August 26.** Official KMA guidance and consensus model runs project minimum temperatures of 22–26 °C, with most deterministic forecasts clustering around 25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow that limits radiational cooling. Recent observations from Incheon International Airport show tropical-night conditions persisting above 25 °C, consistent with the ongoing heat-wave pattern driven by the North Pacific high. Light showers or increased cloud cover expected during the day may further suppress the diurnal temperature range, reinforcing trader consensus around the 25–26 °C outcomes while leaving modest probability for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
26°C 49%
25°C 32%
27°C 11%
24°C 6%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
32%
26°C
49%
27°C
9%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
25°C 32%
27°C 11%
24°C 6%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
32%
26°C
49%
27°C
9%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area for August 26.** Official KMA guidance and consensus model runs project minimum temperatures of 22–26 °C, with most deterministic forecasts clustering around 25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow that limits radiational cooling. Recent observations from Incheon International Airport show tropical-night conditions persisting above 25 °C, consistent with the ongoing heat-wave pattern driven by the North Pacific high. Light showers or increased cloud cover expected during the day may further suppress the diurnal temperature range, reinforcing trader consensus around the 25–26 °C outcomes while leaving modest probability for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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