Current numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 likely falling between 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s emphasis on the 22–27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs show stable high-pressure conditions holding overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal August averages of around 22°C, with minor cloud-cover variations or localized cooling offering the main pathways to sub-24°C readings. Hourly guidance indicates early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24°C before daytime warming, while any unexpected increase in onshore moisture or wind shift could nudge the low higher. Official station observations through the night will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
22°C or below 87%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
87%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 87%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$30 Vol.
87%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$5 Vol.
48%
29°C
$5 Vol.
48%
30°C
$135 Vol.
10%
31°C
$135 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$75 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 likely falling between 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s emphasis on the 22–27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs show stable high-pressure conditions holding overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal August averages of around 22°C, with minor cloud-cover variations or localized cooling offering the main pathways to sub-24°C readings. Hourly guidance indicates early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24°C before daytime warming, while any unexpected increase in onshore moisture or wind shift could nudge the low higher. Official station observations through the night will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$385End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 likely falling between 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s emphasis on the 22–27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs show stable high-pressure conditions holding overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal August averages of around 22°C, with minor cloud-cover variations or localized cooling offering the main pathways to sub-24°C readings. Hourly guidance indicates early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24°C before daytime warming, while any unexpected increase in onshore moisture or wind shift could nudge the low higher. Official station observations through the night will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$385End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 26 likely falling between 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s emphasis on the 22–27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs show stable high-pressure conditions holding overnight lows near or slightly above seasonal August averages of around 22°C, with minor cloud-cover variations or localized cooling offering the main pathways to sub-24°C readings. Hourly guidance indicates early-morning temperatures bottoming near 24°C before daytime warming, while any unexpected increase in onshore moisture or wind shift could nudge the low higher. Official station observations through the night will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions