Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 24–26°C on August 25, shaped by the city's coastal location on the Yellow Sea, which moderates extremes through marine influence, and late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com shows mostly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow, keeping overnight lows above seasonal norms of roughly 23°C while suppressing stronger cooling. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below outcome at 46% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance and the potential for localized marine-layer effects or brief frontal passages to produce a modest dip, with higher bins (25–26°C) capturing the central forecast range amid typical day-to-day variability near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
28°C 50%
32°C or higher 48%
30°C 47%
31°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
47%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
50%
29°C
2%
30°C
47%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
48%
28°C 50%
32°C or higher 48%
30°C 47%
31°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$5 Vol.
50%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
47%
31°C
$5 Vol.
47%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 24–26°C on August 25, shaped by the city's coastal location on the Yellow Sea, which moderates extremes through marine influence, and late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com shows mostly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow, keeping overnight lows above seasonal norms of roughly 23°C while suppressing stronger cooling. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below outcome at 46% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance and the potential for localized marine-layer effects or brief frontal passages to produce a modest dip, with higher bins (25–26°C) capturing the central forecast range amid typical day-to-day variability near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 24–26°C on August 25, shaped by the city's coastal location on the Yellow Sea, which moderates extremes through marine influence, and late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com shows mostly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow, keeping overnight lows above seasonal norms of roughly 23°C while suppressing stronger cooling. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below outcome at 46% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance and the potential for localized marine-layer effects or brief frontal passages to produce a modest dip, with higher bins (25–26°C) capturing the central forecast range amid typical day-to-day variability near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 24–26°C on August 25, shaped by the city's coastal location on the Yellow Sea, which moderates extremes through marine influence, and late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com shows mostly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow, keeping overnight lows above seasonal norms of roughly 23°C while suppressing stronger cooling. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below outcome at 46% implied probability likely reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance and the potential for localized marine-layer effects or brief frontal passages to produce a modest dip, with higher bins (25–26°C) capturing the central forecast range amid typical day-to-day variability near resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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