Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 23 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the regional rainy season. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Model consensus and recent observations emphasize elevated dew points near 24–25°C and light variable winds that further suppress temperature drops. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 26°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 25°C and 27°C outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C and the potential for localized variations in precipitation timing. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
26°C 50%
25°C 27%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
17%
26°C
50%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 50%
25°C 27%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
$110 Vol.
1%
21°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$67 Vol.
2%
23°C
$50 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
19%
25°C
$80 Vol.
17%
26°C
$70 Vol.
50%
27°C
$10 Vol.
21%
28°C
$10 Vol.
20%
29°C
$67 Vol.
9%
30°C or higher
$50 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 23 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the regional rainy season. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Model consensus and recent observations emphasize elevated dew points near 24–25°C and light variable winds that further suppress temperature drops. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 26°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 25°C and 27°C outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C and the potential for localized variations in precipitation timing. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$575End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 23 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the regional rainy season. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Model consensus and recent observations emphasize elevated dew points near 24–25°C and light variable winds that further suppress temperature drops. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 26°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 25°C and 27°C outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C and the potential for localized variations in precipitation timing. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$575End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 23 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the regional rainy season. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Model consensus and recent observations emphasize elevated dew points near 24–25°C and light variable winds that further suppress temperature drops. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 26°C, aligns with this guidance while assigning meaningful weight to 25°C and 27°C outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C and the potential for localized variations in precipitation timing. Updated model runs and official monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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