Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, projects a daily maximum near 32°C on September 23, consistent with the September climatological average high of 31–32°C during the peak wet season. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and widespread afternoon convective thunderstorms—expected to deliver 8–16 mm of rain with 80–99% probability—typically limit peak heating by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong preference for 32°C (56.5% implied probability), while the modest 20% odds on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of storms that could briefly suppress or allow a slightly higher reading. Official resolution will hinge on the 24-hour maximum recorded at the Panama City meteorological station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
32°C 56%
31°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C or higher 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
22%
32°C
56%
33°C
21%
34°C or higher
4%
32°C 56%
31°C 22%
33°C 21%
34°C or higher 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
$505 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$138 Vol.
2%
30°C
$237 Vol.
2%
31°C
$943 Vol.
22%
32°C
$1,666 Vol.
56%
33°C
$198 Vol.
21%
34°C or higher
$225 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, projects a daily maximum near 32°C on September 23, consistent with the September climatological average high of 31–32°C during the peak wet season. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and widespread afternoon convective thunderstorms—expected to deliver 8–16 mm of rain with 80–99% probability—typically limit peak heating by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong preference for 32°C (56.5% implied probability), while the modest 20% odds on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of storms that could briefly suppress or allow a slightly higher reading. Official resolution will hinge on the 24-hour maximum recorded at the Panama City meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,118End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, projects a daily maximum near 32°C on September 23, consistent with the September climatological average high of 31–32°C during the peak wet season. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and widespread afternoon convective thunderstorms—expected to deliver 8–16 mm of rain with 80–99% probability—typically limit peak heating by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong preference for 32°C (56.5% implied probability), while the modest 20% odds on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of storms that could briefly suppress or allow a slightly higher reading. Official resolution will hinge on the 24-hour maximum recorded at the Panama City meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,118End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, projects a daily maximum near 32°C on September 23, consistent with the September climatological average high of 31–32°C during the peak wet season. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and widespread afternoon convective thunderstorms—expected to deliver 8–16 mm of rain with 80–99% probability—typically limit peak heating by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s strong preference for 32°C (56.5% implied probability), while the modest 20% odds on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of storms that could briefly suppress or allow a slightly higher reading. Official resolution will hinge on the 24-hour maximum recorded at the Panama City meteorological station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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