Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 27 will likely reach 10–12°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This setup, with light northerly winds and dew points near 8–10°C, favors minimum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~12°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping most runs clustered around 11°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit cooling to 12–13°C. Trader focus on sub-9°C outcomes reflects awareness of occasional model underestimation of clear-night radiative losses in early-autumn high-pressure regimes, though official guidance through August 25 points to resolution near 10–11°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 52%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
88%
7°C
48%
8°C
50%
9°C
45%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
50%
13°C
45%
14°C
40%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
52%
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 52%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
88%
7°C
$0 Vol.
48%
8°C
$0 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
45%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
45%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 27 will likely reach 10–12°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This setup, with light northerly winds and dew points near 8–10°C, favors minimum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~12°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping most runs clustered around 11°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit cooling to 12–13°C. Trader focus on sub-9°C outcomes reflects awareness of occasional model underestimation of clear-night radiative losses in early-autumn high-pressure regimes, though official guidance through August 25 points to resolution near 10–11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 27 will likely reach 10–12°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This setup, with light northerly winds and dew points near 8–10°C, favors minimum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~12°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping most runs clustered around 11°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit cooling to 12–13°C. Trader focus on sub-9°C outcomes reflects awareness of occasional model underestimation of clear-night radiative losses in early-autumn high-pressure regimes, though official guidance through August 25 points to resolution near 10–11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 27 will likely reach 10–12°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This setup, with light northerly winds and dew points near 8–10°C, favors minimum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~12°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping most runs clustered around 11°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit cooling to 12–13°C. Trader focus on sub-9°C outcomes reflects awareness of occasional model underestimation of clear-night radiative losses in early-autumn high-pressure regimes, though official guidance through August 25 points to resolution near 10–11°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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