Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 27 amid persistent monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, with models showing modest spread due to uncertain nocturnal radiative cooling. Precipitation and thick cloud decks can suppress temperature drops by limiting longwave radiation loss, while brief clear intervals or stronger winds allow greater cooling toward the mid-20s. High humidity from the South China Sea further moderates extremes, keeping values well above historical cold outliers but below peak summer averages. Trader odds clustered around 21–28°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or timing of showers could tip the observed low by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
21°C or below 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
29°C 45%
21°C or below
45%
22°C
24%
23°C
38%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
23%
29°C
45%
30°C
45%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
29°C 45%
21°C or below
45%
22°C
24%
23°C
38%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
23%
29°C
45%
30°C
45%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 27 amid persistent monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, with models showing modest spread due to uncertain nocturnal radiative cooling. Precipitation and thick cloud decks can suppress temperature drops by limiting longwave radiation loss, while brief clear intervals or stronger winds allow greater cooling toward the mid-20s. High humidity from the South China Sea further moderates extremes, keeping values well above historical cold outliers but below peak summer averages. Trader odds clustered around 21–28°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or timing of showers could tip the observed low by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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