Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, 2026, suppressing radiative cooling overnight and anchoring trader attention on the tightly bunched 25–28°C minimum outcomes. High subtropical humidity, typical of the East Asian monsoon regime, further limits nocturnal temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce model spread between CMA and international ensembles. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but active weather systems can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C depending on exact rain onset and wind patterns. Traders weigh these variables against the market’s near-even odds, awaiting the next forecast cycle for clearer signals on resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
23°C 48%
29°C 46%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
48%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
46%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 48%
29°C 46%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$190 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$135 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
48%
24°C
$20 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$140 Vol.
46%
30°C
$75 Vol.
9%
31°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, 2026, suppressing radiative cooling overnight and anchoring trader attention on the tightly bunched 25–28°C minimum outcomes. High subtropical humidity, typical of the East Asian monsoon regime, further limits nocturnal temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce model spread between CMA and international ensembles. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but active weather systems can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C depending on exact rain onset and wind patterns. Traders weigh these variables against the market’s near-even odds, awaiting the next forecast cycle for clearer signals on resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$597End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, 2026, suppressing radiative cooling overnight and anchoring trader attention on the tightly bunched 25–28°C minimum outcomes. High subtropical humidity, typical of the East Asian monsoon regime, further limits nocturnal temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce model spread between CMA and international ensembles. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but active weather systems can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C depending on exact rain onset and wind patterns. Traders weigh these variables against the market’s near-even odds, awaiting the next forecast cycle for clearer signals on resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$597End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and thunderstorms on August 26, 2026, suppressing radiative cooling overnight and anchoring trader attention on the tightly bunched 25–28°C minimum outcomes. High subtropical humidity, typical of the East Asian monsoon regime, further limits nocturnal temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce model spread between CMA and international ensembles. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but active weather systems can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C depending on exact rain onset and wind patterns. Traders weigh these variables against the market’s near-even odds, awaiting the next forecast cycle for clearer signals on resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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