Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high around 30–32°C on August 26 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 65–90% precipitation chances driven by regional monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences. These conditions limit surface heating and create uncertainty in peak values, with numerical models diverging on rainfall timing, intensity, and resulting solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 31–33°C reflects this variability, as even modest shifts in cloud persistence or storm timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C from climatological August norms near 33°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$102 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,171 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,092 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,225 Vol.
5%
30°C
$503 Vol.
12%
31°C
$458 Vol.
26%
32°C
$229 Vol.
33%
33°C
$329 Vol.
17%
34°C
$493 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$114 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high around 30–32°C on August 26 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 65–90% precipitation chances driven by regional monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences. These conditions limit surface heating and create uncertainty in peak values, with numerical models diverging on rainfall timing, intensity, and resulting solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 31–33°C reflects this variability, as even modest shifts in cloud persistence or storm timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C from climatological August norms near 33°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,904End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high around 30–32°C on August 26 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 65–90% precipitation chances driven by regional monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences. These conditions limit surface heating and create uncertainty in peak values, with numerical models diverging on rainfall timing, intensity, and resulting solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 31–33°C reflects this variability, as even modest shifts in cloud persistence or storm timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C from climatological August norms near 33°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,904End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high around 30–32°C on August 26 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 65–90% precipitation chances driven by regional monsoon moisture and possible tropical influences. These conditions limit surface heating and create uncertainty in peak values, with numerical models diverging on rainfall timing, intensity, and resulting solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 31–33°C reflects this variability, as even modest shifts in cloud persistence or storm timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C from climatological August norms near 33°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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