Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a frontal passage and light rain expected over Beijing on September 24, 2026, which should moderate daytime heating while allowing radiative cooling overnight under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble model runs show minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21 °C, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 15–18 °C lows, though steering flow and timing of the rain shield introduce divergence between cooler solutions (favoring 13 °C or below) and milder ones (pushing toward 23 °C or higher). Traders appear to weigh the balance between confirmed moisture advection and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final China Meteorological Administration analysis of the 24-hour minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
23°C or higher 94%
13°C or below 83%
16°C 39%
20°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
13°C or below
83%
14°C
14%
15°C
15%
16°C
39%
17°C
37%
18°C
28%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
94%
23°C or higher 94%
13°C or below 83%
16°C 39%
20°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
83%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a frontal passage and light rain expected over Beijing on September 24, 2026, which should moderate daytime heating while allowing radiative cooling overnight under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble model runs show minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21 °C, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 15–18 °C lows, though steering flow and timing of the rain shield introduce divergence between cooler solutions (favoring 13 °C or below) and milder ones (pushing toward 23 °C or higher). Traders appear to weigh the balance between confirmed moisture advection and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final China Meteorological Administration analysis of the 24-hour minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a frontal passage and light rain expected over Beijing on September 24, 2026, which should moderate daytime heating while allowing radiative cooling overnight under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble model runs show minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21 °C, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 15–18 °C lows, though steering flow and timing of the rain shield introduce divergence between cooler solutions (favoring 13 °C or below) and milder ones (pushing toward 23 °C or higher). Traders appear to weigh the balance between confirmed moisture advection and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final China Meteorological Administration analysis of the 24-hour minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a frontal passage and light rain expected over Beijing on September 24, 2026, which should moderate daytime heating while allowing radiative cooling overnight under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble model runs show minimum temperatures clustering near 18–21 °C, consistent with late-September climatology of roughly 15–18 °C lows, though steering flow and timing of the rain shield introduce divergence between cooler solutions (favoring 13 °C or below) and milder ones (pushing toward 23 °C or higher). Traders appear to weigh the balance between confirmed moisture advection and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final China Meteorological Administration analysis of the 24-hour minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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