Recent persistent cloud cover, thundery showers, and high humidity across the Yangtze River valley have suppressed daytime heating in Wuhan, keeping recent highs in the mid-20s °C—well below the typical late-August average of 32–33 °C. Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate gradual clearing on August 15, with sunny intervals supporting a rebound to a maximum near 31 °C, though scattered showers could limit further warming. The tight market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of any precipitation, which directly influences peak solar insolation and surface temperatures recorded at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 18%
29°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
32%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 18%
29°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
32%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent persistent cloud cover, thundery showers, and high humidity across the Yangtze River valley have suppressed daytime heating in Wuhan, keeping recent highs in the mid-20s °C—well below the typical late-August average of 32–33 °C. Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate gradual clearing on August 15, with sunny intervals supporting a rebound to a maximum near 31 °C, though scattered showers could limit further warming. The tight market clustering around 30–32 °C reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of any precipitation, which directly influences peak solar insolation and surface temperatures recorded at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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