Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a maximum of 28–29 °C in Paris on 26 August under a southwesterly flow that maintains warmth ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Light southerly winds, limited cloud cover through midday, and surface heating over already above-normal August soil temperatures support this range, while increasing afternoon humidity and a 30–50 % chance of showers cap further rises. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28–30 °C reflects these short-range forecasts and the narrow historical spread around late-August highs near 24–26 °C; any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger insolation could push readings to 31 °C, though current guidance favors the lower side of that envelope before cooler air arrives on the 27th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?
29°C 43%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
21%
29°C
43%
30°C
23%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$175 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$120 Vol.
2%
26°C
$467 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,723 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,478 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1,549 Vol.
43%
30°C
$801 Vol.
23%
31°C
$25 Vol.
7%
32°C
$106 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$3 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a maximum of 28–29 °C in Paris on 26 August under a southwesterly flow that maintains warmth ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Light southerly winds, limited cloud cover through midday, and surface heating over already above-normal August soil temperatures support this range, while increasing afternoon humidity and a 30–50 % chance of showers cap further rises. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28–30 °C reflects these short-range forecasts and the narrow historical spread around late-August highs near 24–26 °C; any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger insolation could push readings to 31 °C, though current guidance favors the lower side of that envelope before cooler air arrives on the 27th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,511End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a maximum of 28–29 °C in Paris on 26 August under a southwesterly flow that maintains warmth ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Light southerly winds, limited cloud cover through midday, and surface heating over already above-normal August soil temperatures support this range, while increasing afternoon humidity and a 30–50 % chance of showers cap further rises. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28–30 °C reflects these short-range forecasts and the narrow historical spread around late-August highs near 24–26 °C; any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger insolation could push readings to 31 °C, though current guidance favors the lower side of that envelope before cooler air arrives on the 27th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,511End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a maximum of 28–29 °C in Paris on 26 August under a southwesterly flow that maintains warmth ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. Light southerly winds, limited cloud cover through midday, and surface heating over already above-normal August soil temperatures support this range, while increasing afternoon humidity and a 30–50 % chance of showers cap further rises. The market’s heavy weighting toward 28–30 °C reflects these short-range forecasts and the narrow historical spread around late-August highs near 24–26 °C; any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger insolation could push readings to 31 °C, though current guidance favors the lower side of that envelope before cooler air arrives on the 27th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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