Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a high near 19°C in Munich on September 23 under stable high pressure with easterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the historical average high of 18.8°C for the date while reflecting typical late-September conditions without significant warm or cold advection. Recent model runs show little divergence, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 19°C and 18°C outcomes as the primary resolution candidates, with only low-probability scenarios for deviations driven by unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 23?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 23?
19°C 59%
18°C 37%
17°C 3%
20°C 3%
NEW
$24,053 Vol.
NEW
$24,053 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
37%
19°C
59%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 59%
18°C 37%
17°C 3%
20°C 3%
NEW
$24,053 Vol.
NEW
$24,053 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,859 Vol.
3%
18°C
$8,590 Vol.
37%
19°C
$4,078 Vol.
59%
20°C
$3,634 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,722 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a high near 19°C in Munich on September 23 under stable high pressure with easterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the historical average high of 18.8°C for the date while reflecting typical late-September conditions without significant warm or cold advection. Recent model runs show little divergence, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 19°C and 18°C outcomes as the primary resolution candidates, with only low-probability scenarios for deviations driven by unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$24,053End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a high near 19°C in Munich on September 23 under stable high pressure with easterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the historical average high of 18.8°C for the date while reflecting typical late-September conditions without significant warm or cold advection. Recent model runs show little divergence, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 19°C and 18°C outcomes as the primary resolution candidates, with only low-probability scenarios for deviations driven by unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,053End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a high near 19°C in Munich on September 23 under stable high pressure with easterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the historical average high of 18.8°C for the date while reflecting typical late-September conditions without significant warm or cold advection. Recent model runs show little divergence, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 19°C and 18°C outcomes as the primary resolution candidates, with only low-probability scenarios for deviations driven by unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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