Ensemble weather models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show a modest high of 16–17°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by an approaching frontal system that will maintain overcast skies, light drizzle, and northerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This places the daily maximum well below the early-August average of 22°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Recent model runs have converged on these values with minimal spread, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and limited solar insolation. The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–17°C because traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, while lower or higher extremes would require unexpected model shifts or rapid clearing not currently indicated. Updated guidance is expected from major centers within the next 12–24 hours ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
17°C 45%
16°C 28%
18°C 14%
15°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
9%
16°C
28%
17°C
45%
18°C
14%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 28%
18°C 14%
15°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$363 Vol.
4%
15°C
$323 Vol.
9%
16°C
$100 Vol.
28%
17°C
$585 Vol.
45%
18°C
$130 Vol.
14%
19°C
$66 Vol.
4%
20°C
$349 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$247 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble weather models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show a modest high of 16–17°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by an approaching frontal system that will maintain overcast skies, light drizzle, and northerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This places the daily maximum well below the early-August average of 22°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Recent model runs have converged on these values with minimal spread, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and limited solar insolation. The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–17°C because traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, while lower or higher extremes would require unexpected model shifts or rapid clearing not currently indicated. Updated guidance is expected from major centers within the next 12–24 hours ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,662End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble weather models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show a modest high of 16–17°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by an approaching frontal system that will maintain overcast skies, light drizzle, and northerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This places the daily maximum well below the early-August average of 22°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Recent model runs have converged on these values with minimal spread, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and limited solar insolation. The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–17°C because traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, while lower or higher extremes would require unexpected model shifts or rapid clearing not currently indicated. Updated guidance is expected from major centers within the next 12–24 hours ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,662End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show a modest high of 16–17°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by an approaching frontal system that will maintain overcast skies, light drizzle, and northerly flow suppressing daytime warming. This places the daily maximum well below the early-August average of 22°C as seasonal cooling accelerates. Recent model runs have converged on these values with minimal spread, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and limited solar insolation. The market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–17°C because traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, while lower or higher extremes would require unexpected model shifts or rapid clearing not currently indicated. Updated guidance is expected from major centers within the next 12–24 hours ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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