Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a Miami high near 92°F on August 14 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited thunderstorm development that supports the 92-93°F bin's 69.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show consistency around this level, slightly above the 88°F August average but well below the 95°F date record, as afternoon sea-breeze effects and cloud cover cap further warming. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus and climatological context, with lower-probability bins for 94-95°F or cooler outcomes tied to potential model shifts or convective timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 14?
92-93°F 70%
90-91°F 17%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 2%
NEW
$21,139 Vol.
NEW
$21,139 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
70%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 70%
90-91°F 17%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 2%
NEW
$21,139 Vol.
NEW
$21,139 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
83°F or below
$284 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$497 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$881 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$891 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$6,908 Vol.
17%
92-93°F
$6,884 Vol.
70%
94-95°F
$2,453 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$849 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$368 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$854 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a Miami high near 92°F on August 14 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited thunderstorm development that supports the 92-93°F bin's 69.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show consistency around this level, slightly above the 88°F August average but well below the 95°F date record, as afternoon sea-breeze effects and cloud cover cap further warming. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus and climatological context, with lower-probability bins for 94-95°F or cooler outcomes tied to potential model shifts or convective timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,139End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a Miami high near 92°F on August 14 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited thunderstorm development that supports the 92-93°F bin's 69.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show consistency around this level, slightly above the 88°F August average but well below the 95°F date record, as afternoon sea-breeze effects and cloud cover cap further warming. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus and climatological context, with lower-probability bins for 94-95°F or cooler outcomes tied to potential model shifts or convective timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,139End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service project a Miami high near 92°F on August 14 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited thunderstorm development that supports the 92-93°F bin's 69.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show consistency around this level, slightly above the 88°F August average but well below the 95°F date record, as afternoon sea-breeze effects and cloud cover cap further warming. Trader consensus reflects this forecast consensus and climatological context, with lower-probability bins for 94-95°F or cooler outcomes tied to potential model shifts or convective timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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