Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on September 8, 2026, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. WeatherBug data show an 88°F (31.1°C) high with 80% storm probability, while IMD and other sources align on similar values amid ongoing rainfall patterns that have kept recent daily maxima near 31°C. These factors create the tight clustering around 31–32°C in market-implied odds, as additional moisture and convection would suppress any push toward 33°C or higher while preventing cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 8?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 8?
32°C 47%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
33%
32°C
47%
33°C
12%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
$470 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$293 Vol.
4%
30°C
$360 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,307 Vol.
33%
32°C
$655 Vol.
47%
33°C
$397 Vol.
12%
34°C
$91 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on September 8, 2026, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. WeatherBug data show an 88°F (31.1°C) high with 80% storm probability, while IMD and other sources align on similar values amid ongoing rainfall patterns that have kept recent daily maxima near 31°C. These factors create the tight clustering around 31–32°C in market-implied odds, as additional moisture and convection would suppress any push toward 33°C or higher while preventing cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,757End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on September 8, 2026, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. WeatherBug data show an 88°F (31.1°C) high with 80% storm probability, while IMD and other sources align on similar values amid ongoing rainfall patterns that have kept recent daily maxima near 31°C. These factors create the tight clustering around 31–32°C in market-implied odds, as additional moisture and convection would suppress any push toward 33°C or higher while preventing cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,757End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on September 8, 2026, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. WeatherBug data show an 88°F (31.1°C) high with 80% storm probability, while IMD and other sources align on similar values amid ongoing rainfall patterns that have kept recent daily maxima near 31°C. These factors create the tight clustering around 31–32°C in market-implied odds, as additional moisture and convection would suppress any push toward 33°C or higher while preventing cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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