**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity and a persistent low-pressure area over central Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers shaping trader sentiment for Lucknow’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Active convection, high humidity (often 70-90%), and frequent thunderstorms or rain showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like GFS—promote cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling. Recent block-level IMD data and short-range forecasts indicate minimums near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 45–60% rain chances on the 9th, consistent with climatological September norms for the region. These conditions favor the market’s leading 26 °C outcome while keeping lower extremes (≤22 °C) improbable absent clear, dry air. A brief lull in rainfall could allow slightly warmer nights near 28–30 °C, explaining the secondary probability mass there, but model consensus and the current synoptic setup point to continued moderation. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs through September 8 will be key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
26°C 40%
25°C 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
40%
27°C
25%
28°C
7%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
16%
26°C 40%
25°C 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
$90 Vol.
1%
21°C
$72 Vol.
8%
22°C
$30 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$47 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity and a persistent low-pressure area over central Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers shaping trader sentiment for Lucknow’s minimum temperature on September 9.**
Active convection, high humidity (often 70-90%), and frequent thunderstorms or rain showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like GFS—promote cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling. Recent block-level IMD data and short-range forecasts indicate minimums near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 45–60% rain chances on the 9th, consistent with climatological September norms for the region. These conditions favor the market’s leading 26 °C outcome while keeping lower extremes (≤22 °C) improbable absent clear, dry air. A brief lull in rainfall could allow slightly warmer nights near 28–30 °C, explaining the secondary probability mass there, but model consensus and the current synoptic setup point to continued moderation. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs through September 8 will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$248End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity and a persistent low-pressure area over central Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers shaping trader sentiment for Lucknow’s minimum temperature on September 9.**
Active convection, high humidity (often 70-90%), and frequent thunderstorms or rain showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like GFS—promote cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling. Recent block-level IMD data and short-range forecasts indicate minimums near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 45–60% rain chances on the 9th, consistent with climatological September norms for the region. These conditions favor the market’s leading 26 °C outcome while keeping lower extremes (≤22 °C) improbable absent clear, dry air. A brief lull in rainfall could allow slightly warmer nights near 28–30 °C, explaining the secondary probability mass there, but model consensus and the current synoptic setup point to continued moderation. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs through September 8 will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$248End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing southwest monsoon activity and a persistent low-pressure area over central Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers shaping trader sentiment for Lucknow’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Active convection, high humidity (often 70-90%), and frequent thunderstorms or rain showers—forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and models like GFS—promote cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling. Recent block-level IMD data and short-range forecasts indicate minimums near 26–27 °C (roughly 79–81 °F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 45–60% rain chances on the 9th, consistent with climatological September norms for the region. These conditions favor the market’s leading 26 °C outcome while keeping lower extremes (≤22 °C) improbable absent clear, dry air. A brief lull in rainfall could allow slightly warmer nights near 28–30 °C, explaining the secondary probability mass there, but model consensus and the current synoptic setup point to continued moderation. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs through September 8 will be key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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