Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 90°F for Miami on September 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that limits but does not sharply suppress peak heating. Recent model runs and observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 80s before convective activity, aligning closely with historical September averages near 89°F. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 90-91°F bin reflects this strong forecast agreement, though an earlier or more widespread storm outbreak could realistically hold the high to 87-88°F, while unexpected clearing might push readings slightly above 91°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 7?
90-91°F 98.5%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$62,165 Vol.
$62,165 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
99%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 98.5%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$62,165 Vol.
$62,165 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
79°F or below
$2,582 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,646 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$4,836 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$14,821 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$12,040 Vol.
99%
92-93°F
$10,439 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$7,332 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 90°F for Miami on September 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that limits but does not sharply suppress peak heating. Recent model runs and observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 80s before convective activity, aligning closely with historical September averages near 89°F. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 90-91°F bin reflects this strong forecast agreement, though an earlier or more widespread storm outbreak could realistically hold the high to 87-88°F, while unexpected clearing might push readings slightly above 91°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$62,165End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 90°F for Miami on September 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that limits but does not sharply suppress peak heating. Recent model runs and observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 80s before convective activity, aligning closely with historical September averages near 89°F. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 90-91°F bin reflects this strong forecast agreement, though an earlier or more widespread storm outbreak could realistically hold the high to 87-88°F, while unexpected clearing might push readings slightly above 91°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,165End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 90°F for Miami on September 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm development that limits but does not sharply suppress peak heating. Recent model runs and observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 80s before convective activity, aligning closely with historical September averages near 89°F. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 90-91°F bin reflects this strong forecast agreement, though an earlier or more widespread storm outbreak could realistically hold the high to 87-88°F, while unexpected clearing might push readings slightly above 91°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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