**Persistent monsoon conditions and frequent thunderstorms are keeping daytime highs in Lucknow moderate, positioning 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for the highest temperature on September 9.** Recent observations show maximum temperatures around 31–32°C on September 6–7 amid heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, with official IMD data confirming values near 31.6°C at Lucknow airport and similar readings across Uttar Pradesh districts. Short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug indicate a September 9 high near 32.8°C (91°F) under partly cloudy skies with a 60% storm chance, while other models project 30.5–33°C depending on cloud cover and precipitation timing. High humidity (often 70–90%) and ongoing monsoon rains limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, suppressing peaks relative to drier periods. Historical September baselines for Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, but current wet patterns align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (28%) or 33°C (44%). Key variables include updated IMD model runs, any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, and confirmation of whether afternoon convection clears enough for brief warming. These factors explain trader consensus around the low-to-mid 30s while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical of active monsoon conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
33°C 44%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
29%
33°C
44%
34°C
19%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 29%
34°C 19%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$100 Vol.
1%
30°C
$117 Vol.
2%
31°C
$16 Vol.
7%
32°C
$590 Vol.
29%
33°C
$329 Vol.
44%
34°C
$32 Vol.
19%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$67 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon conditions and frequent thunderstorms are keeping daytime highs in Lucknow moderate, positioning 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for the highest temperature on September 9.**
Recent observations show maximum temperatures around 31–32°C on September 6–7 amid heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, with official IMD data confirming values near 31.6°C at Lucknow airport and similar readings across Uttar Pradesh districts. Short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug indicate a September 9 high near 32.8°C (91°F) under partly cloudy skies with a 60% storm chance, while other models project 30.5–33°C depending on cloud cover and precipitation timing.
High humidity (often 70–90%) and ongoing monsoon rains limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, suppressing peaks relative to drier periods. Historical September baselines for Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, but current wet patterns align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (28%) or 33°C (44%).
Key variables include updated IMD model runs, any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, and confirmation of whether afternoon convection clears enough for brief warming. These factors explain trader consensus around the low-to-mid 30s while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical of active monsoon conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,366End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon conditions and frequent thunderstorms are keeping daytime highs in Lucknow moderate, positioning 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for the highest temperature on September 9.**
Recent observations show maximum temperatures around 31–32°C on September 6–7 amid heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, with official IMD data confirming values near 31.6°C at Lucknow airport and similar readings across Uttar Pradesh districts. Short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug indicate a September 9 high near 32.8°C (91°F) under partly cloudy skies with a 60% storm chance, while other models project 30.5–33°C depending on cloud cover and precipitation timing.
High humidity (often 70–90%) and ongoing monsoon rains limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, suppressing peaks relative to drier periods. Historical September baselines for Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, but current wet patterns align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (28%) or 33°C (44%).
Key variables include updated IMD model runs, any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, and confirmation of whether afternoon convection clears enough for brief warming. These factors explain trader consensus around the low-to-mid 30s while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical of active monsoon conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,366End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon conditions and frequent thunderstorms are keeping daytime highs in Lucknow moderate, positioning 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for the highest temperature on September 9.** Recent observations show maximum temperatures around 31–32°C on September 6–7 amid heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, with official IMD data confirming values near 31.6°C at Lucknow airport and similar readings across Uttar Pradesh districts. Short-term forecasts from sources like WeatherBug indicate a September 9 high near 32.8°C (91°F) under partly cloudy skies with a 60% storm chance, while other models project 30.5–33°C depending on cloud cover and precipitation timing. High humidity (often 70–90%) and ongoing monsoon rains limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, suppressing peaks relative to drier periods. Historical September baselines for Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, but current wet patterns align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (28%) or 33°C (44%). Key variables include updated IMD model runs, any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, and confirmation of whether afternoon convection clears enough for brief warming. These factors explain trader consensus around the low-to-mid 30s while acknowledging forecast uncertainty typical of active monsoon conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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