Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Los Angeles minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach the mid-70s under a persistent warm air mass with reduced marine influence and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-September climatological average low near 64 °F at downtown and LAX stations. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread around 73–78 °F, supporting elevated probabilities for the 74–75 °F bin while the 82 °F-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in how strongly onshore flow or cloud cover may moderate the night. No significant cool-air advection is expected before the 9th, keeping trader focus on the latest NWS update and any last-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
82°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
66-67°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
25%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
49%
82°F or higher
92%
82°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
66-67°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
$90 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$30 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$129 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
50%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
49%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Los Angeles minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach the mid-70s under a persistent warm air mass with reduced marine influence and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-September climatological average low near 64 °F at downtown and LAX stations. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread around 73–78 °F, supporting elevated probabilities for the 74–75 °F bin while the 82 °F-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in how strongly onshore flow or cloud cover may moderate the night. No significant cool-air advection is expected before the 9th, keeping trader focus on the latest NWS update and any last-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$249End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Los Angeles minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach the mid-70s under a persistent warm air mass with reduced marine influence and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-September climatological average low near 64 °F at downtown and LAX stations. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread around 73–78 °F, supporting elevated probabilities for the 74–75 °F bin while the 82 °F-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in how strongly onshore flow or cloud cover may moderate the night. No significant cool-air advection is expected before the 9th, keeping trader focus on the latest NWS update and any last-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$249End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Los Angeles minimum temperatures on September 9 will likely reach the mid-70s under a persistent warm air mass with reduced marine influence and light winds limiting nocturnal cooling. This places the outcome well above the early-September climatological average low near 64 °F at downtown and LAX stations. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread around 73–78 °F, supporting elevated probabilities for the 74–75 °F bin while the 82 °F-or-higher outcome reflects residual uncertainty in how strongly onshore flow or cloud cover may moderate the night. No significant cool-air advection is expected before the 9th, keeping trader focus on the latest NWS update and any last-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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