Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over northern India are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius for September 8. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent humidity near 80 percent, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that trap heat near the surface, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September lows average near 25–26°C, with recent days showing minima around 26°C amid similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 23–27°C outcomes dominating implied probabilities as updated model runs show minimal divergence on overnight temperatures. New observational data and evening forecast updates from the IMD will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 8?
26°C 51%
25°C 36%
24°C 36%
27°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
32%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
28%
27°C
36%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 36%
24°C 36%
27°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$12 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
36%
26°C
$14 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$706 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$712 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over northern India are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius for September 8. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent humidity near 80 percent, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that trap heat near the surface, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September lows average near 25–26°C, with recent days showing minima around 26°C amid similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 23–27°C outcomes dominating implied probabilities as updated model runs show minimal divergence on overnight temperatures. New observational data and evening forecast updates from the IMD will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,510End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over northern India are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius for September 8. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent humidity near 80 percent, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that trap heat near the surface, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September lows average near 25–26°C, with recent days showing minima around 26°C amid similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 23–27°C outcomes dominating implied probabilities as updated model runs show minimal divergence on overnight temperatures. New observational data and evening forecast updates from the IMD will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,510End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover over northern India are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-20s Celsius for September 8. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent humidity near 80 percent, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that trap heat near the surface, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September lows average near 25–26°C, with recent days showing minima around 26°C amid similar conditions. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 23–27°C outcomes dominating implied probabilities as updated model runs show minimal divergence on overnight temperatures. New observational data and evening forecast updates from the IMD will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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