Strong trader consensus around 94-95°F for Houston's September 7 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 92-94°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20-30% chance of late-day showers. Current observations from area stations, including readings near 94°F by mid-afternoon, align with this range amid typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Model consensus supports modest heating without significant intensification from convection or clearer skies. The outcome could shift only if unexpected afternoon clearing pushes official maxima from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental Airport above 95°F, though current conditions make that unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 7?
94-95°F 99%
96-97°F 2%
102°F or higher <1%
100-101°F <1%
$28,770 Vol.
$28,770 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
99%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 99%
96-97°F 2%
102°F or higher <1%
100-101°F <1%
$28,770 Vol.
$28,770 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
83°F or below
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$446 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$864 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$792 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,905 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$9,595 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$6,678 Vol.
99%
96-97°F
$5,265 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$1,386 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$933 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around 94-95°F for Houston's September 7 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 92-94°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20-30% chance of late-day showers. Current observations from area stations, including readings near 94°F by mid-afternoon, align with this range amid typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Model consensus supports modest heating without significant intensification from convection or clearer skies. The outcome could shift only if unexpected afternoon clearing pushes official maxima from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental Airport above 95°F, though current conditions make that unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,770End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around 94-95°F for Houston's September 7 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 92-94°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20-30% chance of late-day showers. Current observations from area stations, including readings near 94°F by mid-afternoon, align with this range amid typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Model consensus supports modest heating without significant intensification from convection or clearer skies. The outcome could shift only if unexpected afternoon clearing pushes official maxima from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental Airport above 95°F, though current conditions make that unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,770End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around 94-95°F for Houston's September 7 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts projecting a daily maximum near 92-94°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20-30% chance of late-day showers. Current observations from area stations, including readings near 94°F by mid-afternoon, align with this range amid typical late-summer humidity and light winds. Model consensus supports modest heating without significant intensification from convection or clearer skies. The outcome could shift only if unexpected afternoon clearing pushes official maxima from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental Airport above 95°F, though current conditions make that unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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