Current forecast models from regional guidance show persistent tropical moisture and afternoon thunderstorm activity over Panama City on September 9, driven by the active Intertropical Convergence Zone typical of the rainy season. This convective regime, combined with high humidity and variable cloud cover, caps daytime heating and creates tight uncertainty around peak values near 31–33°C. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions if storms develop later in the day. Traders weigh the timing of precipitation onset and any shifts in steering winds as key variables that could nudge the daily maximum across the narrow 1°C thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
33°C 50%
32°C 32%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
14%
31°C
24%
32°C
32%
33°C
50%
34°C or higher
10%
33°C 50%
32°C 32%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$29 Vol.
1%
25°C
$475 Vol.
1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$30 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
32%
33°C
$0 Vol.
50%
34°C or higher
$11 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional guidance show persistent tropical moisture and afternoon thunderstorm activity over Panama City on September 9, driven by the active Intertropical Convergence Zone typical of the rainy season. This convective regime, combined with high humidity and variable cloud cover, caps daytime heating and creates tight uncertainty around peak values near 31–33°C. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions if storms develop later in the day. Traders weigh the timing of precipitation onset and any shifts in steering winds as key variables that could nudge the daily maximum across the narrow 1°C thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$795End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional guidance show persistent tropical moisture and afternoon thunderstorm activity over Panama City on September 9, driven by the active Intertropical Convergence Zone typical of the rainy season. This convective regime, combined with high humidity and variable cloud cover, caps daytime heating and creates tight uncertainty around peak values near 31–33°C. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions if storms develop later in the day. Traders weigh the timing of precipitation onset and any shifts in steering winds as key variables that could nudge the daily maximum across the narrow 1°C thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$795End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional guidance show persistent tropical moisture and afternoon thunderstorm activity over Panama City on September 9, driven by the active Intertropical Convergence Zone typical of the rainy season. This convective regime, combined with high humidity and variable cloud cover, caps daytime heating and creates tight uncertainty around peak values near 31–33°C. Historical September averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions if storms develop later in the day. Traders weigh the timing of precipitation onset and any shifts in steering winds as key variables that could nudge the daily maximum across the narrow 1°C thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions