**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum temperature in Cape Town, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model agreement under clear spring skies.** September 7 falls in the early warming phase of the Southern Hemisphere spring, when daytime highs typically climb from seasonal averages near 18–20°C toward late-month peaks. Current conditions feature sunny skies, minimal cloud cover, and light variable winds that favor efficient daytime heating without significant marine-layer moderation or sea-breeze suppression. Official monitoring networks, including surface stations and nearby airport reports, show afternoon readings climbing steadily into the upper 20s, with model consensus (including GFS-derived guidance) centering the daily maximum near 29°C. This skin-in-the-game pricing leaves little room for deviation unless an unexpected shift in steering flow or measurement-site specifics alters the recorded high before close of the meteorological day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,751 Vol.
$48,751 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,751 Vol.
$48,751 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's maximum temperature in Cape Town, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model agreement under clear spring skies.** September 7 falls in the early warming phase of the Southern Hemisphere spring, when daytime highs typically climb from seasonal averages near 18–20°C toward late-month peaks. Current conditions feature sunny skies, minimal cloud cover, and light variable winds that favor efficient daytime heating without significant marine-layer moderation or sea-breeze suppression. Official monitoring networks, including surface stations and nearby airport reports, show afternoon readings climbing steadily into the upper 20s, with model consensus (including GFS-derived guidance) centering the daily maximum near 29°C. This skin-in-the-game pricing leaves little room for deviation unless an unexpected shift in steering flow or measurement-site specifics alters the recorded high before close of the meteorological day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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