Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 31°C for Lucknow on September 7, 2026, driven by active monsoon conditions featuring high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and afternoon thunderstorms that suppress radiative heating. This aligns with early-September climatology for the Indo-Gangetic plain, where seasonal moisture and convective activity typically cap daytime peaks in this range. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time model agreement and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. A sudden break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions above 31°C at some stations, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 7?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$48,167 Vol.
$48,167 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$48,167 Vol.
$48,167 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$261 Vol.
No
25°C
$919 Vol.
No
26°C
$420 Vol.
No
27°C
$247 Vol.
No
28°C
$684 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,258 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,361 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,265 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$2,460 Vol.
No
33°C
$970 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,321 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 31°C for Lucknow on September 7, 2026, driven by active monsoon conditions featuring high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and afternoon thunderstorms that suppress radiative heating. This aligns with early-September climatology for the Indo-Gangetic plain, where seasonal moisture and convective activity typically cap daytime peaks in this range. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time model agreement and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. A sudden break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions above 31°C at some stations, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$48,167End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 31°C for Lucknow on September 7, 2026, driven by active monsoon conditions featuring high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and afternoon thunderstorms that suppress radiative heating. This aligns with early-September climatology for the Indo-Gangetic plain, where seasonal moisture and convective activity typically cap daytime peaks in this range. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time model agreement and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. A sudden break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions above 31°C at some stations, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,167End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 31°C for Lucknow on September 7, 2026, driven by active monsoon conditions featuring high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and afternoon thunderstorms that suppress radiative heating. This aligns with early-September climatology for the Indo-Gangetic plain, where seasonal moisture and convective activity typically cap daytime peaks in this range. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time model agreement and ongoing observations confirming the threshold. A sudden break in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions above 31°C at some stations, though current steering patterns and moisture influx make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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