**Forecast consensus from models such as GFS and official French meteorological guidance points to a daytime peak of 28–29 °C in Paris on 7 September 2026, with afternoon readings reaching approximately 82–84 °F (28–29 °C) under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** Real-time station data and hourly profiles confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 17–22 °C to this maximum before evening cooling, aligning closely with the market’s 100 % implied probability on 29 °C. Historical September 7 averages hover around 23 °C, so this anomaly reflects transient warm advection rather than a record event. Only a late downward revision in the official Météo-France daily maximum or an unexpected measurement discrepancy at the reference station would realistically shift resolution away from 29 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 7?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,180 Vol.
$67,180 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,180 Vol.
$67,180 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$6,195 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,563 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,218 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,801 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15,556 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,400 Vol.
100%
30°C
$9,591 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,664 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models such as GFS and official French meteorological guidance points to a daytime peak of 28–29 °C in Paris on 7 September 2026, with afternoon readings reaching approximately 82–84 °F (28–29 °C) under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** Real-time station data and hourly profiles confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 17–22 °C to this maximum before evening cooling, aligning closely with the market’s 100 % implied probability on 29 °C. Historical September 7 averages hover around 23 °C, so this anomaly reflects transient warm advection rather than a record event. Only a late downward revision in the official Météo-France daily maximum or an unexpected measurement discrepancy at the reference station would realistically shift resolution away from 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$67,180End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models such as GFS and official French meteorological guidance points to a daytime peak of 28–29 °C in Paris on 7 September 2026, with afternoon readings reaching approximately 82–84 °F (28–29 °C) under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** Real-time station data and hourly profiles confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 17–22 °C to this maximum before evening cooling, aligning closely with the market’s 100 % implied probability on 29 °C. Historical September 7 averages hover around 23 °C, so this anomaly reflects transient warm advection rather than a record event. Only a late downward revision in the official Météo-France daily maximum or an unexpected measurement discrepancy at the reference station would realistically shift resolution away from 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,180End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models such as GFS and official French meteorological guidance points to a daytime peak of 28–29 °C in Paris on 7 September 2026, with afternoon readings reaching approximately 82–84 °F (28–29 °C) under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** Real-time station data and hourly profiles confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 17–22 °C to this maximum before evening cooling, aligning closely with the market’s 100 % implied probability on 29 °C. Historical September 7 averages hover around 23 °C, so this anomaly reflects transient warm advection rather than a record event. Only a late downward revision in the official Météo-France daily maximum or an unexpected measurement discrepancy at the reference station would realistically shift resolution away from 29 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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