Marine layer clouds and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific Ocean are the dominant factors capping coastal Los Angeles highs near the mid-70s on August 14, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus. This typical summertime pattern suppresses inland heat advection and maintains marine influence across the Los Angeles basin, preventing excursions into the upper 70s or low 80s despite broader regional warming trends earlier in the month. Recent observations at KLAX and downtown stations show daytime peaks stabilizing around 73–77 °F with dew points in the low 60s, aligning with climatological August averages rather than heat-wave conditions. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 76–77 °F bin at 69.5 percent, reflecting the narrow forecast window before any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
76-77°F 65%
74-75°F 16%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 2.1%
$24,376 Vol.
$24,376 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
65%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 65%
74-75°F 16%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 2.1%
$24,376 Vol.
$24,376 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
65%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer clouds and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific Ocean are the dominant factors capping coastal Los Angeles highs near the mid-70s on August 14, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus. This typical summertime pattern suppresses inland heat advection and maintains marine influence across the Los Angeles basin, preventing excursions into the upper 70s or low 80s despite broader regional warming trends earlier in the month. Recent observations at KLAX and downtown stations show daytime peaks stabilizing around 73–77 °F with dew points in the low 60s, aligning with climatological August averages rather than heat-wave conditions. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 76–77 °F bin at 69.5 percent, reflecting the narrow forecast window before any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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