**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 26, 2026, centers on 32°C as the leading outcome (47.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (24%) and 31°C (16.5%).** These align with August climatology for the coastal city, where daily highs typically average near 31–32°C (88–90°F) amid monsoon influence, rarely exceeding 34°C. Key scientific drivers include Karachi’s maritime location on the Arabian Sea, which supplies moisture and moderates extremes through sea breezes, combined with persistent monsoon cloud cover and humidity that limits daytime solar heating. Official guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather points to a forecast high near 32°C (around 90°F) for August 26, with light winds and possible scattered showers keeping values from climbing higher. Recent analogs, including a 30°C peak on August 22 and similar subdued readings earlier in the month, reinforce the narrow 31–33°C window. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and short-term observational trends, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 34°C+ due to the low likelihood of clear skies or subsidence allowing stronger heating this late in the monsoon season. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
32°C 48%
33°C 24%
31°C 17%
30°C 6.5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
17%
32°C
48%
33°C
24%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
33°C 24%
31°C 17%
30°C 6.5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$79 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$405 Vol.
1%
29°C
$162 Vol.
1%
30°C
$400 Vol.
7%
31°C
$729 Vol.
17%
32°C
$1,692 Vol.
48%
33°C
$1,270 Vol.
24%
34°C
$125 Vol.
4%
35°C
$38 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 26, 2026, centers on 32°C as the leading outcome (47.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (24%) and 31°C (16.5%).** These align with August climatology for the coastal city, where daily highs typically average near 31–32°C (88–90°F) amid monsoon influence, rarely exceeding 34°C.
Key scientific drivers include Karachi’s maritime location on the Arabian Sea, which supplies moisture and moderates extremes through sea breezes, combined with persistent monsoon cloud cover and humidity that limits daytime solar heating. Official guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather points to a forecast high near 32°C (around 90°F) for August 26, with light winds and possible scattered showers keeping values from climbing higher. Recent analogs, including a 30°C peak on August 22 and similar subdued readings earlier in the month, reinforce the narrow 31–33°C window.
Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and short-term observational trends, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 34°C+ due to the low likelihood of clear skies or subsidence allowing stronger heating this late in the monsoon season. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$5,161End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 26, 2026, centers on 32°C as the leading outcome (47.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (24%) and 31°C (16.5%).** These align with August climatology for the coastal city, where daily highs typically average near 31–32°C (88–90°F) amid monsoon influence, rarely exceeding 34°C.
Key scientific drivers include Karachi’s maritime location on the Arabian Sea, which supplies moisture and moderates extremes through sea breezes, combined with persistent monsoon cloud cover and humidity that limits daytime solar heating. Official guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather points to a forecast high near 32°C (around 90°F) for August 26, with light winds and possible scattered showers keeping values from climbing higher. Recent analogs, including a 30°C peak on August 22 and similar subdued readings earlier in the month, reinforce the narrow 31–33°C window.
Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and short-term observational trends, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 34°C+ due to the low likelihood of clear skies or subsidence allowing stronger heating this late in the monsoon season. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,161End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 26, 2026, centers on 32°C as the leading outcome (47.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (24%) and 31°C (16.5%).** These align with August climatology for the coastal city, where daily highs typically average near 31–32°C (88–90°F) amid monsoon influence, rarely exceeding 34°C. Key scientific drivers include Karachi’s maritime location on the Arabian Sea, which supplies moisture and moderates extremes through sea breezes, combined with persistent monsoon cloud cover and humidity that limits daytime solar heating. Official guidance from sources like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather points to a forecast high near 32°C (around 90°F) for August 26, with light winds and possible scattered showers keeping values from climbing higher. Recent analogs, including a 30°C peak on August 22 and similar subdued readings earlier in the month, reinforce the narrow 31–33°C window. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and short-term observational trends, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 34°C+ due to the low likelihood of clear skies or subsidence allowing stronger heating this late in the monsoon season. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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