Recent forecasts from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows in Karachi around 26-27°C for August 26, driven by monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80%, and extensive cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling over the Arabian Sea-influenced coastal region. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 80-81°F (27°C) while recent observations show minima near 26.5°C amid scattered showers. Trader consensus, with 27°C leading at 42% implied probability, reflects this stability, though slight model variations in steering winds or rainfall intensity could shift the exact minimum. Updated PMD guidance and satellite data expected tomorrow will refine resolution thresholds for this market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
27°C 42%
24°C 33%
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
33%
25°C
22%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 42%
24°C 33%
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
33%
25°C
22%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate overnight lows in Karachi around 26-27°C for August 26, driven by monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80%, and extensive cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling over the Arabian Sea-influenced coastal region. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 80-81°F (27°C) while recent observations show minima near 26.5°C amid scattered showers. Trader consensus, with 27°C leading at 42% implied probability, reflects this stability, though slight model variations in steering winds or rainfall intensity could shift the exact minimum. Updated PMD guidance and satellite data expected tomorrow will refine resolution thresholds for this market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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