Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and regional models indicate a daytime high of 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 15, aligning with the market's strong preference for 40°C or higher. August climatology places average highs near 38–39°C, but the National Center for Meteorology has projected warmer-than-normal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, supporting elevated readings amid typical Red Sea humidity and limited cloud cover. Model consensus shows minimal cooling influences over the next 24 hours, with traders interpreting these factors as favoring the upper end of seasonal norms ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 15?
40°C or higher 74%
39°C 17%
38°C 5%
37°C 4%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
5%
39°C
17%
40°C or higher
74%
40°C or higher 74%
39°C 17%
38°C 5%
37°C 4%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
5%
39°C
17%
40°C or higher
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and regional models indicate a daytime high of 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 15, aligning with the market's strong preference for 40°C or higher. August climatology places average highs near 38–39°C, but the National Center for Meteorology has projected warmer-than-normal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, supporting elevated readings amid typical Red Sea humidity and limited cloud cover. Model consensus shows minimal cooling influences over the next 24 hours, with traders interpreting these factors as favoring the upper end of seasonal norms ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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