Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project a daily high near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at those exact thresholds. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location sustains elevated humidity and heat retention, while August’s peak solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime maxima; climatological averages for the month hover around 37–39°C. Current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support these readings without pushing into extreme heatwave territory, though minor model spread around wind and moisture could still shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 14?
39°C 62%
40°C 17%
38°C 15%
41°C or higher 8%
$15,384 Vol.
$15,384 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
19%
39°C
57%
40°C
17%
41°C or higher
8%
39°C 62%
40°C 17%
38°C 15%
41°C or higher 8%
$15,384 Vol.
$15,384 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
31°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$454 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$783 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,068 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,427 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,846 Vol.
19%
39°C
$1,123 Vol.
57%
40°C
$2,528 Vol.
17%
41°C or higher
$1,705 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project a daily high near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at those exact thresholds. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location sustains elevated humidity and heat retention, while August’s peak solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime maxima; climatological averages for the month hover around 37–39°C. Current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support these readings without pushing into extreme heatwave territory, though minor model spread around wind and moisture could still shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$15,384End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project a daily high near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at those exact thresholds. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location sustains elevated humidity and heat retention, while August’s peak solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime maxima; climatological averages for the month hover around 37–39°C. Current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support these readings without pushing into extreme heatwave territory, though minor model spread around wind and moisture could still shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,384End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services project a daily high near 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at those exact thresholds. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location sustains elevated humidity and heat retention, while August’s peak solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime maxima; climatological averages for the month hover around 37–39°C. Current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support these readings without pushing into extreme heatwave territory, though minor model spread around wind and moisture could still shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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