Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on August 26 under moderate northeasterly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30 °C at official stations, though traders appear to favor slightly cooler readings around 27–28 °C. Persistent Etesian winds off the Black Sea and a post-heatwave cooling trend have lowered afternoon temperatures from recent peaks near 32 °C, while clear skies and light winds limit convective mixing and keep the thermal profile stable. Low precipitation probability and seasonal insolation decline further constrain upside potential, with any model run-to-run shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed serving as the next key variables ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
27°C 48%
28°C 33%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
48%
28°C
33%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 33%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$180 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$230 Vol.
4%
26°C
$561 Vol.
10%
27°C
$692 Vol.
48%
28°C
$410 Vol.
33%
29°C
$107 Vol.
7%
30°C
$198 Vol.
3%
31°C
$483 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on August 26 under moderate northeasterly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30 °C at official stations, though traders appear to favor slightly cooler readings around 27–28 °C. Persistent Etesian winds off the Black Sea and a post-heatwave cooling trend have lowered afternoon temperatures from recent peaks near 32 °C, while clear skies and light winds limit convective mixing and keep the thermal profile stable. Low precipitation probability and seasonal insolation decline further constrain upside potential, with any model run-to-run shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed serving as the next key variables ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,247End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on August 26 under moderate northeasterly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30 °C at official stations, though traders appear to favor slightly cooler readings around 27–28 °C. Persistent Etesian winds off the Black Sea and a post-heatwave cooling trend have lowered afternoon temperatures from recent peaks near 32 °C, while clear skies and light winds limit convective mixing and keep the thermal profile stable. Low precipitation probability and seasonal insolation decline further constrain upside potential, with any model run-to-run shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed serving as the next key variables ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,247End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates Istanbul will experience mostly sunny conditions on August 26 under moderate northeasterly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29–30 °C at official stations, though traders appear to favor slightly cooler readings around 27–28 °C. Persistent Etesian winds off the Black Sea and a post-heatwave cooling trend have lowered afternoon temperatures from recent peaks near 32 °C, while clear skies and light winds limit convective mixing and keep the thermal profile stable. Low precipitation probability and seasonal insolation decline further constrain upside potential, with any model run-to-run shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed serving as the next key variables ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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