Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 26 will hinge on the timing and intensity of expected showers and squally thunderstorms amid typical late-summer monsoon flow. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C range with south to southwesterly winds, while broader August climatology and seasonal outlooks favor normal-to-above-normal maxima near 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C market leaders. Model consensus shows limited divergence on steering patterns, but small shifts in thunderstorm onset relative to peak afternoon hours or localized urban heat effects at the official recording site could tip the outcome among the closely matched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
31°C 41%
30°C 35%
32°C 12%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
35%
31°C
41%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 35%
32°C 12%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
24°C or below
$319 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,485 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,132 Vol.
11%
30°C
$648 Vol.
35%
31°C
$1,351 Vol.
41%
32°C
$289 Vol.
12%
33°C
$474 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 26 will hinge on the timing and intensity of expected showers and squally thunderstorms amid typical late-summer monsoon flow. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C range with south to southwesterly winds, while broader August climatology and seasonal outlooks favor normal-to-above-normal maxima near 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C market leaders. Model consensus shows limited divergence on steering patterns, but small shifts in thunderstorm onset relative to peak afternoon hours or localized urban heat effects at the official recording site could tip the outcome among the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,303End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 26 will hinge on the timing and intensity of expected showers and squally thunderstorms amid typical late-summer monsoon flow. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C range with south to southwesterly winds, while broader August climatology and seasonal outlooks favor normal-to-above-normal maxima near 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C market leaders. Model consensus shows limited divergence on steering patterns, but small shifts in thunderstorm onset relative to peak afternoon hours or localized urban heat effects at the official recording site could tip the outcome among the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,303End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's peak temperature on August 26 will hinge on the timing and intensity of expected showers and squally thunderstorms amid typical late-summer monsoon flow. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C range with south to southwesterly winds, while broader August climatology and seasonal outlooks favor normal-to-above-normal maxima near 31–32°C. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity can suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C market leaders. Model consensus shows limited divergence on steering patterns, but small shifts in thunderstorm onset relative to peak afternoon hours or localized urban heat effects at the official recording site could tip the outcome among the closely matched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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