Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a peak temperature near 36–38°C (97–100°F) for Chongqing on August 15 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate and typical August heat buildup, with high humidity amplifying perceived warmth. This positions 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with ensemble consensus on weak steering flows and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent data show stable high-pressure patterns sustaining temperatures above seasonal norms, while slight model spread around potential afternoon convection introduces modest downside risk for 35°C. Historical August maxima often reach 35–40°C in the region, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over extremes below 34°C or above 38°C. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
36°C 45%
37°C 31%
35°C 13%
38°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
13%
36°C
45%
37°C
31%
38°C
8%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 31%
35°C 13%
38°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
$1,199 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,028 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,159 Vol.
4%
35°C
$539 Vol.
13%
36°C
$1,063 Vol.
45%
37°C
$897 Vol.
31%
38°C
$382 Vol.
8%
39°C
$468 Vol.
2%
40°C
$134 Vol.
1%
41°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a peak temperature near 36–38°C (97–100°F) for Chongqing on August 15 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate and typical August heat buildup, with high humidity amplifying perceived warmth. This positions 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with ensemble consensus on weak steering flows and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent data show stable high-pressure patterns sustaining temperatures above seasonal norms, while slight model spread around potential afternoon convection introduces modest downside risk for 35°C. Historical August maxima often reach 35–40°C in the region, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over extremes below 34°C or above 38°C. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,096End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a peak temperature near 36–38°C (97–100°F) for Chongqing on August 15 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate and typical August heat buildup, with high humidity amplifying perceived warmth. This positions 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with ensemble consensus on weak steering flows and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent data show stable high-pressure patterns sustaining temperatures above seasonal norms, while slight model spread around potential afternoon convection introduces modest downside risk for 35°C. Historical August maxima often reach 35–40°C in the region, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over extremes below 34°C or above 38°C. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,096End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a peak temperature near 36–38°C (97–100°F) for Chongqing on August 15 amid the city’s subtropical monsoon climate and typical August heat buildup, with high humidity amplifying perceived warmth. This positions 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with ensemble consensus on weak steering flows and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating. Recent data show stable high-pressure patterns sustaining temperatures above seasonal norms, while slight model spread around potential afternoon convection introduces modest downside risk for 35°C. Historical August maxima often reach 35–40°C in the region, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over extremes below 34°C or above 38°C. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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