**Persistent late-summer heat driven by the North Pacific High continues to support elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, positioning 35 °C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 26 daily maximum.** AccuWeather’s latest guidance calls for a 96 °F (35.6 °C) high under mostly sunny skies with high humidity and only a low chance of late-day thunderstorms, while other models and extended outlooks cluster in the low-to-mid 30s °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for peak August heat in Busan, where average highs reach ~30 °C but frequently exceed that during strong subtropical ridge episodes. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds limit evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum sensitive to small forecast shifts. The market’s concentration on 34–36 °C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, with 35 °C holding the plurality (49.5 %) amid model spread. Resolution will hinge on the official Korea Meteorological Administration station observation; any last-minute adjustment in guidance or unexpected cloud cover could quickly reprice the 34 °C and 36 °C contracts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 26?
35°C 50%
34°C 22%
36°C 22%
37°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
22%
35°C
50%
36°C
22%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 50%
34°C 22%
36°C 22%
37°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$181 Vol.
1%
32°C
$444 Vol.
1%
33°C
$286 Vol.
4%
34°C
$573 Vol.
22%
35°C
$1,370 Vol.
50%
36°C
$336 Vol.
22%
37°C
$1,028 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$133 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat driven by the North Pacific High continues to support elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, positioning 35 °C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 26 daily maximum.**
AccuWeather’s latest guidance calls for a 96 °F (35.6 °C) high under mostly sunny skies with high humidity and only a low chance of late-day thunderstorms, while other models and extended outlooks cluster in the low-to-mid 30s °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for peak August heat in Busan, where average highs reach ~30 °C but frequently exceed that during strong subtropical ridge episodes. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds limit evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum sensitive to small forecast shifts.
The market’s concentration on 34–36 °C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, with 35 °C holding the plurality (49.5 %) amid model spread. Resolution will hinge on the official Korea Meteorological Administration station observation; any last-minute adjustment in guidance or unexpected cloud cover could quickly reprice the 34 °C and 36 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,390End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat driven by the North Pacific High continues to support elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, positioning 35 °C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 26 daily maximum.**
AccuWeather’s latest guidance calls for a 96 °F (35.6 °C) high under mostly sunny skies with high humidity and only a low chance of late-day thunderstorms, while other models and extended outlooks cluster in the low-to-mid 30s °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for peak August heat in Busan, where average highs reach ~30 °C but frequently exceed that during strong subtropical ridge episodes. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds limit evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum sensitive to small forecast shifts.
The market’s concentration on 34–36 °C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, with 35 °C holding the plurality (49.5 %) amid model spread. Resolution will hinge on the official Korea Meteorological Administration station observation; any last-minute adjustment in guidance or unexpected cloud cover could quickly reprice the 34 °C and 36 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,390End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat driven by the North Pacific High continues to support elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, positioning 35 °C as the market favorite for Busan’s August 26 daily maximum.** AccuWeather’s latest guidance calls for a 96 °F (35.6 °C) high under mostly sunny skies with high humidity and only a low chance of late-day thunderstorms, while other models and extended outlooks cluster in the low-to-mid 30s °C. These conditions align with climatological norms for peak August heat in Busan, where average highs reach ~30 °C but frequently exceed that during strong subtropical ridge episodes. Low precipitation probabilities and light winds limit evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum sensitive to small forecast shifts. The market’s concentration on 34–36 °C reflects trader assessment of this consensus range, with 35 °C holding the plurality (49.5 %) amid model spread. Resolution will hinge on the official Korea Meteorological Administration station observation; any last-minute adjustment in guidance or unexpected cloud cover could quickly reprice the 34 °C and 36 °C contracts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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