Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Busan on August 26 near 25–28 °C, sustained by a strong North Pacific high delivering warm, humid maritime air with limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 24–26 °C and light winds reduce the typical diurnal drop, pushing overnight lows above the August climatological average of ~24 °C. Model consensus shows mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only isolated thunderstorm chances, keeping the range tight but leaving room for slight cooling if clouds increase. Trader focus on the closely matched 24 °C and 22 °C-or-below bins reflects this uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, while elevated probabilities around 28 °C capture the warmer tail of guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 26?
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 59%
28°C 33%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
86%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
33%
29°C
25%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
59%
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 59%
28°C 33%
25°C 27%
22°C or below
86%
23°C
24%
24°C
35%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
33%
29°C
25%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Busan on August 26 near 25–28 °C, sustained by a strong North Pacific high delivering warm, humid maritime air with limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 24–26 °C and light winds reduce the typical diurnal drop, pushing overnight lows above the August climatological average of ~24 °C. Model consensus shows mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with only isolated thunderstorm chances, keeping the range tight but leaving room for slight cooling if clouds increase. Trader focus on the closely matched 24 °C and 22 °C-or-below bins reflects this uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, while elevated probabilities around 28 °C capture the warmer tail of guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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