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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

icon for Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93%

Avengers: Doomsday 7%

Dune: Messiah <1%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1%

Polymarket

$17,021,575 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93%

Avengers: Doomsday 7%

Dune: Messiah <1%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie <1%

Polymarket

$17,021,575 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$588,535 Vol.

93%

Avengers: Doomsday

$787,260 Vol.

7%

Dune: Messiah

$652,914 Vol.

<1%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$620,091 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$2,188,590 Vol.

<1%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$816,715 Vol.

<1%

The Odyssey

$852,683 Vol.

<1%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

$1,176,134 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$2,456,145 Vol.

<1%

Wuthering Heights

$2,304,760 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$1,321,124 Vol.

<1%

Toy Story 5

$613,990 Vol.

<1%

Project Hail Mary

$1,430,582 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$1,212,055 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-setting $360 million domestic opening in late July and swift climb past $1.7 billion worldwide have anchored trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the 2026 box office crown. The Tom Holland and Zendaya-led Sony/Marvel title leveraged peak summer timing, franchise momentum, and strong word-of-mouth to eclipse Toy Story 5 and other early releases within its first week. Avengers: Doomsday, slated for December, carries solid advance sales but faces a steep climb against Spider-Man's established lead and typical late-year audience fatigue patterns. An upset would require the Avengers sequel to post historic legs or benefit from unexpected re-releases, both low-probability outcomes given historical precedents for year-end tentpoles.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,021,575
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-setting $360 million domestic opening in late July and swift climb past $1.7 billion worldwide have anchored trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the 2026 box office crown. The Tom Holland and Zendaya-led Sony/Marvel title leveraged peak summer timing, franchise momentum, and strong word-of-mouth to eclipse Toy Story 5 and other early releases within its first week. Avengers: Doomsday, slated for December, carries solid advance sales but faces a steep climb against Spider-Man's established lead and typical late-year audience fatigue patterns. An upset would require the Avengers sequel to post historic legs or benefit from unexpected re-releases, both low-probability outcomes given historical precedents for year-end tentpoles.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,021,575
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Related

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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

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icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

72%
icon for Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

89%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest grossing movie in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at 93%, followed by "Avengers: Doomsday" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" has generated $17 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest grossing movie in 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Avengers: Doomsday" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.