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icon for Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?

Sep 1

Sep 1

TWEET COUNT
334
Time left
TWEETS
334
Time left

780-799 11.9%

800-839 10.9%

840-879 10.8%

880-919 10%

Polymarket

$117,000 Vol.

780-799 11.9%

800-839 10.9%

840-879 10.8%

880-919 10%

Polymarket

$117,000 Vol.

300-319

$169 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$169 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$169 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$169 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$429 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$435 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$5,043 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$3,637 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$7,034 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$8,855 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$7,178 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$5,248 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$5,532 Vol.

1%

560-579

$5,089 Vol.

1%

580-599

$3,176 Vol.

1%

600-619

$4,019 Vol.

2%

620-639

$4,511 Vol.

2%

640-659

$1,802 Vol.

4%

660-679

$2,489 Vol.

5%

680-699

$2,027 Vol.

7%

700-719

$1,469 Vol.

6%

720-739

$1,376 Vol.

8%

740-759

$2,026 Vol.

9%

760-779

$1,314 Vol.

9%

780-799

$2,102 Vol.

12%

800-839

$3,748 Vol.

11%

840-879

$4,289 Vol.

11%

880-919

$3,840 Vol.

10%

920-959

$4,349 Vol.

7%

960-999

$9,210 Vol.

3%

1000+

$6,419 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's typical X activity—averaging 20-30 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid Tesla, xAI, and Grok updates—as the core driver placing the 780-799 range at the top with 11.9% implied probability. Early August weekly trackers showing 160-179 posts align with that pace, keeping 800-839 and 840-879 brackets within a few points and underscoring how tightly contested the field remains. Business priorities, selective engagement during slower cycles, and occasional spikes from news or product milestones create the spread, while replies are excluded per resolution rules. With August roughly halfway complete, consistent daily volume through month-end remains the key swing factor, reflecting aggregated market sentiment rather than any guaranteed outcome.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$117,000
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's typical X activity—averaging 20-30 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid Tesla, xAI, and Grok updates—as the core driver placing the 780-799 range at the top with 11.9% implied probability. Early August weekly trackers showing 160-179 posts align with that pace, keeping 800-839 and 840-879 brackets within a few points and underscoring how tightly contested the field remains. Business priorities, selective engagement during slower cycles, and occasional spikes from news or product milestones create the spread, while replies are excluded per resolution rules. With August roughly halfway complete, consistent daily volume through month-end remains the key swing factor, reflecting aggregated market sentiment rather than any guaranteed outcome.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$117,000
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "780-799" at 12%, followed by "800-839" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" has generated $117K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" is "780-799" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "800-839" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.