Recent posting patterns on X, with Elon Musk averaging around 26 tweets daily over the prior week amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI commentary, anchor trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the three-day window. Weekend slowdowns often temper volume compared to weekday peaks, while selective replies and major updates can push totals into the 65-89 range that holds secondary support. Market-implied odds reflect this variability in his cadence, where historical short-period fluctuations and business priorities create a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome, with lower brackets capturing potential quiet stretches and higher ones tied to breaking developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 23%
90-114 4.7%
NEW
$19,850 Vol.
NEW
$19,850 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
23%
40-64
50%
65-89
24%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 23%
90-114 4.7%
NEW
$19,850 Vol.
NEW
$19,850 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
$1,021 Vol.
23%
40-64
$1,805 Vol.
50%
65-89
$2,312 Vol.
24%
90-114
$6,591 Vol.
5%
115-139
$3,799 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,269 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,507 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$449 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$571 Vol.
<1%
240+
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns on X, with Elon Musk averaging around 26 tweets daily over the prior week amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI commentary, anchor trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the three-day window. Weekend slowdowns often temper volume compared to weekday peaks, while selective replies and major updates can push totals into the 65-89 range that holds secondary support. Market-implied odds reflect this variability in his cadence, where historical short-period fluctuations and business priorities create a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome, with lower brackets capturing potential quiet stretches and higher ones tied to breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$19,850End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns on X, with Elon Musk averaging around 26 tweets daily over the prior week amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI commentary, anchor trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the three-day window. Weekend slowdowns often temper volume compared to weekday peaks, while selective replies and major updates can push totals into the 65-89 range that holds secondary support. Market-implied odds reflect this variability in his cadence, where historical short-period fluctuations and business priorities create a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome, with lower brackets capturing potential quiet stretches and higher ones tied to breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,850End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent posting patterns on X, with Elon Musk averaging around 26 tweets daily over the prior week amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI commentary, anchor trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the three-day window. Weekend slowdowns often temper volume compared to weekday peaks, while selective replies and major updates can push totals into the 65-89 range that holds secondary support. Market-implied odds reflect this variability in his cadence, where historical short-period fluctuations and business priorities create a competitive spread rather than a dominant outcome, with lower brackets capturing potential quiet stretches and higher ones tied to breaking developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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