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icon for America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

icon for America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

Lara D 45%

Mackenzie Sol 44%

Veronika Goroshkova 43%

Rubén Roldán Bustos 43%

Polymarket
NEW

Lara D 45%

Mackenzie Sol 44%

Veronika Goroshkova 43%

Rubén Roldán Bustos 43%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Lara D

Lara D

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Mackenzie Sol

Mackenzie Sol

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Veronika Goroshkova

Veronika Goroshkova

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Rubén Roldán Bustos

Rubén Roldán Bustos

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Holland and Sienna

Holland and Sienna

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Nene Royal

Nene Royal

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Unitree

Unitree

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Come Here

Come Here

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Royal Lasers

Royal Lasers

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Ashford Sanders

Ashford Sanders

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Herwan Legaillard

Herwan Legaillard

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Jesse White Tumbling Team

Jesse White Tumbling Team

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Olivia Befus

Olivia Befus

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for The CommUNITY ATL Choir

The CommUNITY ATL Choir

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Young & Strange

Young & Strange

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Travis Garland

Travis Garland

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Geno Ploeger

Geno Ploeger

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for ACRO Crew

ACRO Crew

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Bird & Byron

Bird & Byron

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Akira

Akira

$50 Vol.

21%

icon for Lai Noelle

Lai Noelle

$0 Vol.

19%

icon for Brad and Tracy

Brad and Tracy

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Hundred Fingers

Hundred Fingers

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Luke Taleno

Luke Taleno

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Isaac Atkins

Isaac Atkins

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for LaRussell

LaRussell

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for Pynk Beard

Pynk Beard

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for Béty

Béty

$50 Vol.

20%

icon for Brook Lynn

Brook Lynn

$50 Vol.

26%

icon for Butter & Grit

Butter & Grit

$50 Vol.

23%

icon for Cameron Logsdon

Cameron Logsdon

$50 Vol.

26%

icon for Cesar Dias

Cesar Dias

$50 Vol.

23%

icon for Daniel Alvarez

Daniel Alvarez

$50 Vol.

24%

icon for Elsie

Elsie

$50 Vol.

18%

icon for Guy Kelton Jones I

Guy Kelton Jones I

$50 Vol.

26%

icon for James & Marina

James & Marina

$50 Vol.

24%

icon for Jesse Joe

Jesse Joe

$50 Vol.

16%

icon for Kameron Marshall

Kameron Marshall

$50 Vol.

23%

icon for Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

$50 Vol.

18%

icon for Patrox

Patrox

$50 Vol.

18%

icon for Sando

Sando

$50 Vol.

17%

icon for Tyrone and Margo

Tyrone and Margo

$50 Vol.

17%

icon for Cris Sosa

Cris Sosa

$50 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.With America's Got Talent Season 21 live shows just underway following the Top 44 selection, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no act has pulled ahead decisively. Recent audition buzz, Golden Buzzer moments, and callback performances have elevated acts like Olivia Befus's dog routine and other variety or singing talents, yet the even implied probabilities highlight the unpredictable nature of public voting across quarterfinal weeks. Differentiating factors include performance polish under pressure, genre diversity, and judge narrative momentum, with upcoming eliminations and semifinals likely to sharpen the race as streaming metrics and audience engagement come into play.

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$850
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.With America's Got Talent Season 21 live shows just underway following the Top 44 selection, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no act has pulled ahead decisively. Recent audition buzz, Golden Buzzer moments, and callback performances have elevated acts like Olivia Befus's dog routine and other variety or singing talents, yet the even implied probabilities highlight the unpredictable nature of public voting across quarterfinal weeks. Differentiating factors include performance polish under pressure, genre diversity, and judge narrative momentum, with upcoming eliminations and semifinals likely to sharpen the race as streaming metrics and audience engagement come into play.

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$850
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lara D" at 45%, followed by "Mackenzie Sol" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "America's Got Talent S21: Winner," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is "Lara D" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mackenzie Sol" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "America's Got Talent S21: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.