**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached $705 million after just two weekends, the fastest pace to that milestone. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal late-summer competition, and robust weekday holds have fueled projections for a third weekend in the $67–77 million range, positioning the film to comfortably surpass $800 million by August 31. Trader consensus in the 800–900 million bracket reflects this momentum while the 36% chance at 900 million+ accounts for the possibility of continued exceptional legs into the final weeks of the window. Historical comparisons to prior Spider-Man entries and the film’s current trajectory above No Way Home’s pace underpin the market’s tight focus on these upper tiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 65%
900m+ 36.5%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$991,913 Vol.
$991,913 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
65%
900m+
37%
800 - 900m 65%
900m+ 36.5%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$991,913 Vol.
$991,913 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$16,564 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$31,359 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$27,178 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$41,949 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$82,101 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$186,786 Vol.
65%
900m+
$605,975 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached $705 million after just two weekends, the fastest pace to that milestone. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal late-summer competition, and robust weekday holds have fueled projections for a third weekend in the $67–77 million range, positioning the film to comfortably surpass $800 million by August 31. Trader consensus in the 800–900 million bracket reflects this momentum while the 36% chance at 900 million+ accounts for the possibility of continued exceptional legs into the final weeks of the window. Historical comparisons to prior Spider-Man entries and the film’s current trajectory above No Way Home’s pace underpin the market’s tight focus on these upper tiers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$991,913End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached $705 million after just two weekends, the fastest pace to that milestone. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal late-summer competition, and robust weekday holds have fueled projections for a third weekend in the $67–77 million range, positioning the film to comfortably surpass $800 million by August 31. Trader consensus in the 800–900 million bracket reflects this momentum while the 36% chance at 900 million+ accounts for the possibility of continued exceptional legs into the final weeks of the window. Historical comparisons to prior Spider-Man entries and the film’s current trajectory above No Way Home’s pace underpin the market’s tight focus on these upper tiers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$991,913End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached $705 million after just two weekends, the fastest pace to that milestone. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal late-summer competition, and robust weekday holds have fueled projections for a third weekend in the $67–77 million range, positioning the film to comfortably surpass $800 million by August 31. Trader consensus in the 800–900 million bracket reflects this momentum while the 36% chance at 900 million+ accounts for the possibility of continued exceptional legs into the final weeks of the window. Historical comparisons to prior Spider-Man entries and the film’s current trajectory above No Way Home’s pace underpin the market’s tight focus on these upper tiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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