Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 14–21 window centers on his established high-volume posting habits, with the market clustering tightly around the 160–219 tweet range reflecting expectations of roughly 23–31 daily posts. This positioning stems from Musk's routine engagement with company updates, memes, and public discourse, tempered by the inherent variability of his schedule and responses to breaking news. The closely matched bins highlight uncertainty over potential spikes from viral topics or dips during focused periods at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI. Key catalysts include any major announcements or platform interactions that could shift daily output before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 14%
$219,059 Vol.
$219,059 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
19%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
14%
240-259
9%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 14%
$219,059 Vol.
$219,059 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
19%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
14%
240-259
9%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 14–21 window centers on his established high-volume posting habits, with the market clustering tightly around the 160–219 tweet range reflecting expectations of roughly 23–31 daily posts. This positioning stems from Musk's routine engagement with company updates, memes, and public discourse, tempered by the inherent variability of his schedule and responses to breaking news. The closely matched bins highlight uncertainty over potential spikes from viral topics or dips during focused periods at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI. Key catalysts include any major announcements or platform interactions that could shift daily output before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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