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icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

180-199 20%

160-179 19%

200-219 18%

220-239 14%

Polymarket

$219,059 Vol.

180-199 20%

160-179 19%

200-219 18%

220-239 14%

Polymarket

$219,059 Vol.

<20

$2,883 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$1,883 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$1,883 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$15,327 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$25,040 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$35,114 Vol.

1%

120-139

$25,018 Vol.

4%

140-159

$3,889 Vol.

11%

160-179

$4,229 Vol.

19%

180-199

$5,035 Vol.

20%

200-219

$2,024 Vol.

18%

220-239

$2,582 Vol.

14%

240-259

$1,863 Vol.

9%

260-279

$1,684 Vol.

5%

280-299

$7,478 Vol.

2%

300-319

$8,123 Vol.

1%

320-339

$6,205 Vol.

1%

340-359

$4,277 Vol.

1%

360-379

$5,274 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$3,680 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$4,229 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$10,323 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$7,196 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$6,646 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$6,646 Vol.

<1%

500+

$20,530 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 14–21 window centers on his established high-volume posting habits, with the market clustering tightly around the 160–219 tweet range reflecting expectations of roughly 23–31 daily posts. This positioning stems from Musk's routine engagement with company updates, memes, and public discourse, tempered by the inherent variability of his schedule and responses to breaking news. The closely matched bins highlight uncertainty over potential spikes from viral topics or dips during focused periods at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI. Key catalysts include any major announcements or platform interactions that could shift daily output before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$219,059
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's X activity during the August 14–21 window centers on his established high-volume posting habits, with the market clustering tightly around the 160–219 tweet range reflecting expectations of roughly 23–31 daily posts. This positioning stems from Musk's routine engagement with company updates, memes, and public discourse, tempered by the inherent variability of his schedule and responses to breaking news. The closely matched bins highlight uncertainty over potential spikes from viral topics or dips during focused periods at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI. Key catalysts include any major announcements or platform interactions that could shift daily output before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$219,059
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "180-199" at 20%, followed by "160-179" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?" has generated $219.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?" is "180-199" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.