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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 25.1%

Callum Turner 21%

No Bond chosen 19.1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.4%

Polymarket

$76,942 Vol.

Jack Lowden 25.1%

Callum Turner 21%

No Bond chosen 19.1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.4%

Polymarket

$76,942 Vol.

Jack Lowden

$8,655 Vol.

25%

Callum Turner

$28,226 Vol.

21%

No Bond chosen

$14,522 Vol.

19%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$4,741 Vol.

11%

Theo James

$4,772 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$1,176 Vol.

5%

Jacob Elordi

$2,353 Vol.

4%

Harris Dickinson

$1,351 Vol.

4%

Josh O'Connor

$2,322 Vol.

2%

Tom Holland

$1,289 Vol.

2%

Tom Hardy

$2,670 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$1,089 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$597 Vol.

1%

Robert James-Collier

$648 Vol.

1%

Michael B Jordan

$809 Vol.

1%

James Norton

$909 Vol.

<1%

Timothee Chalamet

$813 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent producer comments from Amy Pascal signaling a potential announcement by year-end 2026 have intensified trader focus on British actors aligning with director Denis Villeneuve's reported preference for a relatively unknown, enigmatic lead. Jack Lowden edges ahead due to his established dramatic range and fitting profile, while Callum Turner trails closely on strong recent visibility in high-profile projects. The sizable share for no selection yet reflects ongoing uncertainty in a process historically driven by guild signals and last-minute shifts rather than early frontrunner lock-ins. Upcoming casting updates or Villeneuve interviews could quickly realign the field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,942
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent producer comments from Amy Pascal signaling a potential announcement by year-end 2026 have intensified trader focus on British actors aligning with director Denis Villeneuve's reported preference for a relatively unknown, enigmatic lead. Jack Lowden edges ahead due to his established dramatic range and fitting profile, while Callum Turner trails closely on strong recent visibility in high-profile projects. The sizable share for no selection yet reflects ongoing uncertainty in a process historically driven by guild signals and last-minute shifts rather than early frontrunner lock-ins. Upcoming casting updates or Villeneuve interviews could quickly realign the field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,942
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 25%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $76.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Jack Lowden" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.